Nigeria’s Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Oil), Heineken Lokpobiri, has indicated its ambition to increase its crude oil production to 3 million barrels per day (bpd) by 2025.
This goal includes both crude oil and condensates, and it is intended to be met without going against the quotas set by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).
Current Production Levels:
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August 2023: Production was approximately 1 million bpd.
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Present: An increase to 1.8 million bpd has been achieved.
Strategies to Achieve the 3 Million bpd Target:
Enhanced Security Measures: Through initiatives like Delta Sanity (OPDS), the government has stepped up efforts to prevent oil theft in the Niger Delta. The Nigerian Navy has played a key role in these efforts by protecting oil facilities with assault helicopters, armed drones, and enhanced intelligence.
Optimisation of Infrastructure: There are plans to allocate certain terminal reservoirs solely for condensate and others for crude oil. The goal of this segmentation is to precisely account for production volumes and maximise storage.
Regulatory Support: By 2025, the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) wants to see at least 2.1 million barrels per day of output. As part of its efforts, the Commission has increased the number of rigs in the nation from 16 in 2021 to 32, demonstrating its dedication to improving upstream operations.
Challenges and Considerations:
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Oil Theft and Pipeline Vandalism: Despite ongoing security operations, issues like the sabotage of the Trans Niger Pipeline remain significant challenges. Continuous collaboration with security agencies is essential to address these concerns.
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Investment Climate: Attracting consistent investment is crucial. The government acknowledges the need for a transparent and stable policy environment to encourage both local and international investors.