A recent report from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has highlighted the increasing financial strain on Nigerians.
According to The Punch, the report warns that more citizens may resort to borrowing to manage rising expenses in the coming six months.
The report, based on the July 2024 Inflation Expectations Survey, suggests that household expenses will continue to climb through the end of 2024 and into January 2025. The survey revealed that many Nigerian families might have to dip into their savings to meet financial obligations.
Conducted between July 14th and July 26th, the survey involved 1,600 businesses and 1,650 households across Nigeria’s 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory. The purpose was to gauge how businesses and households perceive current and future inflation trends, helping policymakers to better stabilize the economy.
The CBN survey revealed that 83.7% of respondents view the current inflation level as high, with an overall perception index of -61.1 points.
Businesses appear slightly less concerned about inflation compared to households, with indices of -58.7 and -63.3 points, respectively. However, large businesses expressed significant concern, with an index of -70.8 points.
The report also assessed consumer confidence across three dimensions: economic conditions, family financial situations, and family income.
The findings showed worsening financial conditions for all income groups, with many anticipating the need to either deplete their savings or incur debt in the near future.
Consumer confidence was notably pessimistic for the months leading to October and November 2024, with indices of -21.8 and -9.1 points. This negative outlook is attributed to deteriorating economic conditions and declining family finances.
Nigerians also expect inflation to rise across the coming months, with indices of -62.2 for the current month, -53.7 for the next month, -41.7 for the next three months, and -29.0 for the next six months.
The report indicates that anticipated price hikes are particularly expected in transportation, medical expenses, vehicle purchases, housing, and rent.
Furthermore, the survey identified changes in energy prices, exchange rates, and transportation costs as the main drivers of inflation in July 2024.
Both businesses and households expressed widespread concern over the current inflationary environment, with a negative index point of -61.1.